p(doom)

p(doom)

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Tech-culture slang for the probability someone assigns to AI causing catastrophe; "What's your p(doom)?" became a podcast icebreaker and ironic social post when AI news drops.

More about this meme

p(doom), short for "probability of doom," names the percentage chance someone believes advanced AI could trigger human extinction or similarly catastrophic outcomes. Programmer Tim Tyler used the term on LessWrong in May 2009 while arguing doom forecasts were overstated; The New York Times later credited that comment when covering Silicon Valley's obsession with the metric.

After ChatGPT's 2023 launch, interviewers began asking researchers and executives for their p(doom), and social feeds turned the question into a joke—posting sudden percentage jumps after each model release or policy headline. Know Your Meme documented the meme layer October 16, 2026, noting the tension between earnest AI-safety discourse and ironic "my p(doom) went up" posts.

How to use this meme on a site

whatsyourpdoom.com can publish a tongue-in-cheek slider widget that outputs shareable cards ("today's news moved me from 12% to 19%") with a serious sidebar linking to reputable AI-risk explainers so the joke does not drown out context.

pdoommeter.com fits a podcast prep page: episode outlines, question banks for hosts, and etiquette for asking guests without turning the segment into doom bait.

askpdoom.com works as a glossary microsite defining related jargon (alignment, scaling, pause letters) in plain language, plus a moderated quote wall of the funniest social posts when new models launch.

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